How long do providers survive on LowEndTalk?
Not sure about whether anybody else cares about these numbers, but I was curios about how long the average provider survives on LowEndTalk and did some research. Maybe there is somebody else interested in these numbers, so here they are:
The above chart considers any provider inactive when a provider didn't post anything for over a year, but already had created at least two offer threads in the past. (Anybody not posting at least two offer threads is considered a provider which maybe just doesn't care about LET.) This way of classification is surprisingly overlapping with the non-200-status-codes returned when following the offering links.
All data was collected through a relatively naive crawler. Over 50% of the providers do not survive for 15 months, and after 31 months about 75% of the providers are gone again. Some other findings: I found 1323 providers and 1206 didn't post anything for over a year (my dataset goes back until 2012); a significant majority does offer VPS, while non-VPS providers generally survive longer (might be related to the sellers guidelines of LET); incorporated providers seem to give up less quick (well, was also to be expected); and WHMCS seems to have a nearly perfect monopoly on that market.
One more chart:
Against to what general LET wisdoms might say: there seems not the be any part of the year where most new providers appear and no starting month seems to give you a clear advantage in surviving. So, no summer hosts phenomenon. Or at least no statsitcally significant one.
To all VPS providers which are already in business for over 3 years: congratulations, it seems you have survived the hardest part (from a statistical perspective).